Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | USI -110 SIUE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -1.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.4 (-4.6) | 152.4 (-21.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.3 (-6.7) | 149.0 (-18.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.4 (-5.6) | 151.4 (-20.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -1.9 (-5.1) | 152.5 (-21.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIUE 58 – 46 USI |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SIUE 59 – 55 USI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | USI 82 – 68 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIUE 82 – 76 USI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#243) | 2.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#238) | 0.62 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#237) | 0.60 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#236) | 0.538 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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