Betting Lines
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +350 PENN -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +29 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -5.2 (-23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -5.0 (-24.0) | 140.6 (-1.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -5.6 (-23.4) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -5.1 (-23.9) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -5.0 (-24.0) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 76 – 67 COLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | COLU 72 – 67 PENN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PENN 92 – 87 COLU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PENN 93 – 78 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#338) | -1.2 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#336) | -0.27 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#334) | -0.09 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#342) | 0.502 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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