Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP -300 PAC +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -8.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -5.4 (-10.4) | 156.0 (-1.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -5.0 (-10.0) | 156.3 (-1.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -5.5 (-10.5) | 156.2 (-1.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -6.0 (-11.0) | 156.2 (-1.2) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PAC 92 – 59 PEPP |
| Jan 5, 2026 | PAC 74 – 69 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2025 | PEPP 60 – 44 PAC |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PEPP 87 – 70 PAC |
| Mar 7, 2024 | PEPP 102 – 43 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 7-10 |
| Away | 0-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#132) | -2.2 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#177) | -0.55 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#152) | -0.76 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#146) | 0.443 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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