Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | UCR -450 CSUN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +23 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -11.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -9.4 (+13.6) | 141.3 (-28.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -9.5 (+13.5) | 135.7 (-22.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -9.2 (+13.8) | 140.6 (-27.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -9.1 (+13.9) | 141.5 (-28.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#169) | -7.1 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#144) | -3.08 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#178) | -3.43 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#162) | 0.323 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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