Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -333 HARV +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +4 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -11.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -9.0 (-5.0) | 130.6 (-18.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -8.4 (-4.4) | 128.9 (-16.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -8.6 (-4.6) | 132.5 (-20.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -9.7 (-5.7) | 132.3 (-20.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#61) | 1.8 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#138) | 0.49 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#113) | 0.22 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#168) | 0.539 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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