Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -400 WASH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -9.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -7.3 (+0.7) | 139.2 (-1.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -8.7 (-0.7) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -7.8 (+0.2) | 141.5 (-3.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -7.5 (+0.5) | 139.2 (-1.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WASH 84 – 82 ASU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WASH 82 – 67 ASU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WASH 69 – 66 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WASH 87 – 64 ASU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ASU 80 – 72 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#62) | 3.4 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#49) | 0.60 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#57) | 0.74 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#54) | 0.540 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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