Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +125 ASU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -1.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -0.9 (+3.9) | 144.5 (-9.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -1.5 (+4.5) | 146.3 (-11.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -0.5 (+3.5) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -0.7 (+3.7) | 145.1 (-10.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WASH 84 – 82 ASU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WASH 82 – 67 ASU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ASU 73 – 65 WASH |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WASH 87 – 64 ASU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ASU 80 – 72 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#108) | 8.9 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#91) | 1.80 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#97) | 2.17 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#96) | 0.582 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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