Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -300 ASU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -9.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -7.1 (+7.9) | 146.9 (+2.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -6.7 (+8.3) | 149.7 (-0.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -7.4 (+7.6) | 150.5 (-1.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -7.1 (+7.9) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WASH 84 – 82 ASU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WASH 69 – 66 ASU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ASU 73 – 65 WASH |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WASH 87 – 64 ASU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ASU 80 – 72 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#54) | 4.2 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#75) | 1.65 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#74) | 1.93 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#58) | 0.603 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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