He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Pac-12 Conference · Alaska Airlines Arena · January 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WASH -6.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WASH -300 / ASU +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total WASH win
Actual WASH +15 149 Won
Massey WASH -9.6 (+5.4)
Massey Totals 151.1 (-2.1)
Bradley-Terry 61%
Weighted B-T 68%
Efficiency Plus ML WASH -6.7 (+8.3) 149.7 (-0.7) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML WASH -7.1 (+7.9) 146.9 (+2.1) 75%
Baseline ML WASH -7.1 (+7.9) 146.8 (+2.2) 74%
Baseline Plus ML WASH -7.4 (+7.6) 150.5 (-1.5) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 WASH 8482 ASU
Jan 27, 2023 WASH 6966 ASU
Jan 8, 2023 ASU 7365 WASH
Feb 11, 2022 WASH 8764 ASU
Feb 26, 2021 ASU 8072 WASH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WASH ASU
Overall 17-15 14-18
Conference 9-11 8-12
Home 10-6 10-5
Away 5-6 3-8
Neutral 2-3 1-5
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 80.6 69.0
Avg Pts Against 77.1 74.0
Massey 9.8 (#54) 4.2 (#106)
Bradley-Terry 1.34 (#75) 1.65 (#65)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.84 (#74) 1.93 (#72)
RPI 0.578 (#58) 0.603 (#35)
Shooting & Four Factors WASH ASU
FG% 46.7% 42.0%
3PT% 34.4% 31.2%
REB / G 37.6 34.8
OREB / G 10.7 7.7
AST / TO 1.30 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 48.0%
TOV% 16.0% 15.5%
ORB% 30.6% 20.1%
FT Rate 26.3% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 19.8%
DRB% 68.8% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 16.7%

Game Analysis

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