Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | WASH -130 ASU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -1.8 (+21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -2.0 (+21.0) | 141.7 (+9.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -1.0 (+22.0) | 146.0 (+5.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -2.3 (+20.7) | 144.7 (+6.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.7 (+21.3) | 142.8 (+8.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WASH 84 – 82 ASU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WASH 82 – 67 ASU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WASH 69 – 66 ASU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ASU 73 – 65 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ASU 80 – 72 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#145) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#101) | 0.55 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#112) | 0.36 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#99) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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