Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +110 WASH -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -3.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -1.4 (-0.6) | 150.5 (+15.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -1.4 (-0.6) | 151.4 (+14.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -1.8 (-0.2) | 154.8 (+11.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.7 (-0.3) | 151.6 (+14.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2024 | WASH 82 – 67 ASU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WASH 69 – 66 ASU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ASU 73 – 65 WASH |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WASH 87 – 64 ASU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ASU 80 – 72 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#127) | 9.6 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#107) | 1.05 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#112) | 1.46 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#105) | 0.544 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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