Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -400 WASH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -10.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -9.8 (-1.8) | 151.1 (+0.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -7.9 (+0.1) | 152.1 (-0.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -9.5 (-1.5) | 154.3 (-2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -9.9 (-1.9) | 151.1 (+0.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WASH 84 – 82 ASU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WASH 82 – 67 ASU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WASH 69 – 66 ASU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ASU 73 – 65 WASH |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WASH 87 – 64 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 7-6 | 4-7 |
| Away | 2-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#100) | -2.7 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#132) | -0.53 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#122) | -0.57 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#149) | 0.462 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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