Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -275 IOWA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -10.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -7.9 (-18.9) | 143.2 (-2.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -7.4 (-18.4) | 141.7 (-0.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -9.3 (-20.3) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -8.2 (-19.2) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | IOWA 68 – 62 RUTG |
| Feb 12, 2025 | IOWA 84 – 73 RUTG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 82 RUTG |
| Mar 11, 2022 | IOWA 84 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#7) | 9.9 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#47) | 1.44 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#46) | 1.82 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#45) | 0.549 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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