Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -250 IOWA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +11 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -2.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -2.3 (-13.3) | 157.5 (-0.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -2.4 (-13.4) | 156.6 (+0.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -2.8 (-13.8) | 156.4 (+0.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -2.5 (-13.5) | 156.2 (+0.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | IOWA 68 – 62 RUTG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 82 RUTG |
| Jan 8, 2023 | IOWA 76 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 11, 2022 | IOWA 84 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#67) | 9.9 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#72) | 1.47 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#59) | 2.04 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#78) | 0.528 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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