Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -2400 RUTG +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -21.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -17.3 (-11.3) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -15.3 (-9.3) | 138.7 (-8.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -16.8 (-10.8) | 138.9 (-8.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -17.0 (-11.0) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2025 | IOWA 84 – 73 RUTG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 82 RUTG |
| Jan 8, 2023 | IOWA 76 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 11, 2022 | IOWA 84 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#21) | -0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#35) | 0.45 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#28) | 0.31 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#44) | 0.508 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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