Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | IOWA -250 RUTG +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -9.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -6.5 (+2.5) | 149.2 (+13.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -6.7 (+2.3) | 143.4 (+19.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.5 (+2.5) | 145.5 (+17.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -6.5 (+2.5) | 149.4 (+13.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | IOWA 68 – 62 RUTG |
| Feb 12, 2025 | IOWA 84 – 73 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 82 RUTG |
| Jan 8, 2023 | IOWA 76 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 11, 2022 | IOWA 84 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#46) | 5.6 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#121) | 1.16 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#109) | 1.81 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#130) | 0.547 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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