The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Seton Hall Pirates
76 – 51
FINAL Conference
Butler Bulldogs
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · January 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -4.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money HALL -175 / BTLR +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual HALL +25 127 Won
Massey HALL -2.4 (+22.6) — —
Massey Totals — 127.8 (-0.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 53% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 43% ✗
Baseline Plus ML HALL -0.8 (+24.2) 134.3 (-7.3) 55% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HALL -3.1 (+21.9) 134.1 (-7.1) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -1.5 (+23.5) 133.5 (-6.5) 56% ✓
Baseline ML HALL -0.6 (+24.4) 134.5 (-7.5) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 63 – 56 BTLR
Jan 17, 2026 BTLR 77 – 66 HALL
Feb 5, 2025 BTLR 84 – 54 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BTLR 82 – 77 HALL
Feb 25, 2024 HALL 76 – 64 BTLR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL BTLR
Overall 17-16 14-18
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 10-6 10-6
Away 6-7 3-9
Neutral 1-3 1-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 67.9 65.2
Avg Pts Against 65.4 67.9
Massey 7.1 (#78) 8.9 (#56)
Bradley-Terry 0.76 (#108) 1.40 (#71)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.70 (#121) 1.85 (#72)
RPI 0.554 (#81) 0.559 (#77)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL BTLR
FG% 43.2% 47.2%
3PT% 30.5% 35.2%
REB / G 36.5 32.2
OREB / G 11.3 6.8
AST / TO 0.81 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 53.3%
TOV% 21.7% 16.8%
ORB% 32.2% 21.8%
FT Rate 30.1% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 19.0%
DRB% 70.1% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 13.3%

Game Analysis

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