That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Seton Hall Pirates
66 77
FINAL Conference
Butler Bulldogs
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · January 17, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -6.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money HALL -278 / BUT +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual BUT +11 143 Lost
Massey HALL -4.7 (-15.7)
Massey Totals 144.9 (-1.9)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML HALL -2.9 (-13.9) 139.4 (+3.6) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -5.4 (-16.4) 136.4 (+6.6) 74%
Baseline ML HALL -4.6 (-15.6) 138.7 (+4.3) 72%
Baseline Plus ML HALL -5.8 (-16.8) 139.2 (+3.8) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 6356 BUT
Feb 5, 2025 BUT 8454 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BUT 8277 HALL
Feb 25, 2024 HALL 7664 BUT
Jan 13, 2024 HALL 7872 BUT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL BUT
Overall 21-12 16-16
Conference 10-10 7-13
Home 12-5 10-7
Away 6-6 3-8
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 79.4
Avg Pts Against 65.3 77.5
Massey 11.8 (#49) 10.6 (#54)
Bradley-Terry 2.83 (#31) 1.24 (#82)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.78 (#27) 1.73 (#79)
RPI 0.611 (#30) 0.540 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL BUT
FG% 43.9% 46.4%
3PT% 31.4% 34.3%
REB / G 36.7 40.9
OREB / G 12.7 13.7
AST / TO 1.26 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 52.8%
TOV% 16.1% 16.9%
ORB% 35.6% 37.5%
FT Rate 28.1% 28.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.7% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 22.6% 15.5%
DRB% 68.9% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 29.3% 16.3%

Game Analysis

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