Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BUT -188 HALL +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | BUT -7.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -3.9 (-9.9) | 142.7 (+7.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -5.5 (-11.5) | 144.3 (+5.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -5.2 (-11.2) | 143.7 (+6.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -5.7 (-11.7) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | HALL 63 – 56 BUT |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BUT 77 – 66 HALL |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BUT 84 – 54 HALL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BUT 82 – 77 HALL |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HALL 76 – 64 BUT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#44) | 7.4 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#46) | 1.59 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#43) | 1.92 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#51) | 0.586 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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