Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Butler Bulldogs
72 – 78
FINAL Conference
Seton Hall Pirates
Big East Conference · Hinkle Fieldhouse · January 13, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BTLR -3.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money BTLR -188 / HALL +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total BTLR win
Actual HALL +6 150 Lost
Massey BTLR -7.4 (-13.4) — —
Massey Totals — 149.3 (+0.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BTLR -5.7 (-11.7) 142.0 (+8.0) 71% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BTLR -3.9 (-9.9) 142.7 (+7.3) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BTLR -5.5 (-11.5) 144.3 (+5.7) 71% ✗
Baseline ML BTLR -5.2 (-11.2) 143.7 (+6.3) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 63 – 56 BTLR
Jan 17, 2026 BTLR 77 – 66 HALL
Feb 5, 2025 BTLR 84 – 54 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BTLR 82 – 77 HALL
Feb 25, 2024 HALL 76 – 64 BTLR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BTLR HALL
Overall 18-15 25-12
Conference 9-11 13-7
Home 12-6 17-4
Away 4-7 5-6
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 W5
Avg Pts For 76.5 73.8
Avg Pts Against 73.8 69.9
Massey 10.7 (#44) 7.4 (#73)
Bradley-Terry 1.87 (#46) 1.59 (#65)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.50 (#43) 1.92 (#71)
RPI 0.586 (#51) 0.586 (#53)
Shooting & Four Factors BTLR HALL
FG% 46.7% 46.3%
3PT% 34.6% 32.0%
REB / G 37.0 37.4
OREB / G 10.0 12.9
AST / TO 1.31 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 51.0%
TOV% 15.4% 20.0%
ORB% 28.9% 38.2%
FT Rate 23.2% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 19.3%
DRB% 69.0% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 15.7% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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