Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BUT -290 HALL +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -11.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -8.6 (-3.6) | 135.6 (+23.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -9.7 (-4.7) | 135.7 (+23.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -10.0 (-5.0) | 135.6 (+23.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -9.7 (-4.7) | 134.1 (+24.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | HALL 63 – 56 BUT |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BUT 77 – 66 HALL |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BUT 84 – 54 HALL |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HALL 76 – 64 BUT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | HALL 78 – 72 BUT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-8 | 5-11 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#83) | -1.0 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#150) | -0.71 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#105) | -0.84 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#146) | 0.459 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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