Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
Butler Bulldogs
82 – 77
FINAL Conference
Seton Hall Pirates
Big East Conference · Hinkle Fieldhouse · January 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BTLR -6.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money BTLR -290 / HALL +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total BTLR win
Actual BTLR +5 159 Won
Massey BTLR -11.2 (-6.2) — —
Massey Totals — 133.5 (+25.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BTLR -9.7 (-4.7) 134.1 (+24.9) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BTLR -8.6 (-3.6) 135.6 (+23.4) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BTLR -9.7 (-4.7) 135.7 (+23.3) 82% ✓
Baseline ML BTLR -10.0 (-5.0) 135.6 (+23.4) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 63 – 56 BTLR
Jan 17, 2026 BTLR 77 – 66 HALL
Feb 5, 2025 BTLR 84 – 54 HALL
Feb 25, 2024 HALL 76 – 64 BTLR
Jan 13, 2024 HALL 78 – 72 BTLR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BTLR HALL
Overall 15-20 7-25
Conference 6-14 2-18
Home 9-8 5-11
Away 2-9 0-11
Neutral 4-3 2-3
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 74.7 61.6
Avg Pts Against 74.9 70.2
Massey 6.5 (#83) -1.0 (#173)
Bradley-Terry 0.24 (#150) -0.71 (#231)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.93 (#105) -0.84 (#228)
RPI 0.515 (#146) 0.459 (#242)
Shooting & Four Factors BTLR HALL
FG% 44.2% 40.8%
3PT% 37.2% 34.8%
REB / G 35.4 34.3
OREB / G 8.4 12.3
AST / TO 1.21 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 46.4%
TOV% 17.4% 18.9%
ORB% 26.4% 34.5%
FT Rate 32.6% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 11.5% 21.3%
DRB% 69.8% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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