Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR +180 HALL -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +7 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -0.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.6 (-6.4) | 143.5 (-24.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -1.0 (-8.0) | 144.3 (-25.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -0.9 (-7.9) | 140.4 (-21.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -0.2 (-7.2) | 140.6 (-21.6) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | BTLR 77 – 66 HALL |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 54 HALL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BTLR 82 – 77 HALL |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HALL 76 – 64 BTLR |
| Jan 13, 2024 | HALL 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#71) | 10.9 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#85) | 1.87 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#84) | 2.56 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#145) | 0.571 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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