Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Seton Hall Pirates
76 – 64
FINAL Conference
Butler Bulldogs
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · February 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -5.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money HALL -250 / BTLR +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual HALL +12 140 Won
Massey HALL -2.3 (+9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 147.9 (-7.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HALL -3.5 (+8.5) 143.1 (-3.1) 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HALL -3.5 (+8.5) 143.2 (-3.2) 68% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -3.9 (+8.1) 141.8 (-1.8) 70% ✓
Baseline ML HALL -3.6 (+8.4) 142.5 (-2.5) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 63 – 56 BTLR
Jan 17, 2026 BTLR 77 – 66 HALL
Feb 5, 2025 BTLR 84 – 54 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BTLR 82 – 77 HALL
Jan 13, 2024 HALL 78 – 72 BTLR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL BTLR
Overall 25-12 18-15
Conference 13-7 9-11
Home 17-4 12-6
Away 5-6 4-7
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak W5 L2
Avg Pts For 73.8 76.5
Avg Pts Against 69.9 73.8
Massey 9.2 (#62) 10.2 (#51)
Bradley-Terry 1.62 (#57) 1.60 (#60)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.03 (#54) 1.91 (#63)
RPI 0.557 (#80) 0.541 (#109)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL BTLR
FG% 45.0% 45.5%
3PT% 31.6% 35.2%
REB / G 38.5 35.4
OREB / G 12.8 9.4
AST / TO 0.99 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 52.0%
TOV% 19.0% 14.7%
ORB% 37.1% 27.3%
FT Rate 25.1% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 50.1%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 15.9%
DRB% 70.8% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 16.8%

Game Analysis

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