I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Seton Hall Pirates
76 64
FINAL Conference
Butler Bulldogs
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · February 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -5.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money HALL -250 / BUT +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual HALL +12 140 Won
Massey HALL -2.3 (+9.7)
Massey Totals 147.9 (-7.9)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 69%
Efficiency Plus ML HALL -3.5 (+8.5) 143.2 (-3.2) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -3.9 (+8.1) 141.8 (-1.8) 70%
Baseline ML HALL -3.6 (+8.4) 142.5 (-2.5) 73%
Baseline Plus ML HALL -3.5 (+8.5) 143.1 (-3.1) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 6356 BUT
Jan 17, 2026 BUT 7766 HALL
Feb 5, 2025 BUT 8454 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BUT 8277 HALL
Jan 13, 2024 HALL 7872 BUT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL BUT
Overall 25-12 18-15
Conference 13-7 9-11
Home 17-4 12-6
Away 5-6 4-7
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak W5 L2
Avg Pts For 73.8 76.5
Avg Pts Against 69.9 73.8
Massey 9.2 (#62) 10.2 (#51)
Bradley-Terry 1.62 (#57) 1.60 (#60)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.03 (#54) 1.91 (#63)
RPI 0.557 (#80) 0.541 (#109)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL BUT
FG% 45.0% 45.5%
3PT% 31.6% 35.2%
REB / G 38.5 35.4
OREB / G 12.8 9.4
AST / TO 0.99 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 52.0%
TOV% 19.0% 14.7%
ORB% 37.1% 27.3%
FT Rate 25.1% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 50.1%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 15.9%
DRB% 70.8% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 16.8%

Game Analysis

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