Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Seton Hall Pirates
54 84
FINAL Conference
Butler Bulldogs
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · February 5, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BUT -4.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money HALL +175 / BUT -210
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual BUT +30 138 Lost
Massey BUT -5.7 (-24.3)
Massey Totals 136.3 (+1.7)
Bradley-Terry 34%
Weighted B-T 23%
Efficiency Plus ML BUT -4.6 (-25.4) 134.3 (+3.7) 33%
Baseline Tuned ML BUT -6.3 (-23.7) 136.6 (+1.4) 30%
Baseline ML BUT -5.8 (-24.2) 136.3 (+1.7) 25%
Baseline Plus ML BUT -5.8 (-24.2) 136.1 (+1.9) 28%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 6356 BUT
Jan 17, 2026 BUT 7766 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BUT 8277 HALL
Feb 25, 2024 HALL 7664 BUT
Jan 13, 2024 HALL 7872 BUT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL BUT
Overall 7-25 15-20
Conference 2-18 6-14
Home 5-11 9-8
Away 0-11 2-9
Neutral 2-3 4-3
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 61.6 74.7
Avg Pts Against 70.2 74.9
Massey -1.6 (#187) 7.4 (#80)
Bradley-Terry -0.90 (#252) 0.32 (#146)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.92 (#232) 0.94 (#104)
RPI 0.450 (#262) 0.501 (#178)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL BUT
FG% 40.4% 45.0%
3PT% 33.1% 36.2%
REB / G 32.8 35.2
OREB / G 12.0 8.7
AST / TO 0.88 1.25
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 52.3%
TOV% 19.5% 16.8%
ORB% 33.6% 27.4%
FT Rate 24.1% 31.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.2% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 11.1%
DRB% 70.8% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 28.5% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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