Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +175 BTLR -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +30 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -5.7 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -5.8 (-24.2) | 136.1 (+1.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -4.6 (-25.4) | 134.3 (+3.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -6.3 (-23.7) | 136.6 (+1.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -5.8 (-24.2) | 136.3 (+1.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | HALL 63 – 56 BTLR |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BTLR 77 – 66 HALL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BTLR 82 – 77 HALL |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HALL 76 – 64 BTLR |
| Jan 13, 2024 | HALL 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-11 | 9-8 |
| Away | 0-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#187) | 7.4 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#252) | 0.32 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#232) | 0.94 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#262) | 0.501 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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