Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -188 RID +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -7.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -6.0 (-1.0) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.8 (+0.2) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -6.2 (-1.2) | 141.6 (-10.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -6.2 (-1.2) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 RID |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RID 78 – 76 SIE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RID 61 – 59 SIE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RID 91 – 50 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#159) | -2.4 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#128) | -0.87 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#131) | -1.02 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#135) | 0.458 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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