Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN +240 IONA -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +23 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -5.0 (+28.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -3.5 (+26.5) | 146.5 (-7.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -3.5 (+26.5) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.0 (+27.0) | 146.1 (-7.1) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -3.3 (+26.3) | 147.4 (-8.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 9-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#135) | 11.5 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#151) | 1.39 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#139) | 1.86 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#171) | 0.592 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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