Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +450 UVU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -9.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -8.7 (-5.3) | 156.9 (-20.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -8.6 (-5.4) | 153.0 (-17.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.1 (-6.9) | 154.7 (-18.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.8 (-6.2) | 154.9 (-18.9) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | UVU 70 – 59 RGV |
| Jan 14, 2024 | RGV 76 – 68 UVU |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UVU 66 – 56 RGV |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UVU 73 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UVU 78 – 74 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#299) | 6.1 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#235) | 1.58 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#248) | 2.54 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#191) | 0.567 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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