Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -14.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -11.3 (-1.3) | 151.4 (-29.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -12.5 (-2.5) | 151.1 (-29.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -12.7 (-2.7) | 152.2 (-30.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -12.7 (-2.7) | 152.3 (-30.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | UVU 70 – 59 RGV |
| Jan 14, 2024 | RGV 76 – 68 UVU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | UVU 75 – 61 RGV |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UVU 73 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UVU 78 – 74 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#99) | -5.3 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#117) | -1.11 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#104) | -1.28 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#97) | 0.477 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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