Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -150 RGV +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -2.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.1 (+6.9) | 147.0 (-10.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.4 (+7.6) | 143.8 (-6.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.7 (+7.3) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.8 (+7.2) | 149.3 (-12.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | UVU 70 – 59 RGV |
| Jan 14, 2024 | RGV 76 – 68 UVU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | UVU 75 – 61 RGV |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UVU 66 – 56 RGV |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UVU 78 – 74 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 2-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#223) | -3.7 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#260) | -0.84 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#268) | -0.88 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#214) | 0.482 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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