Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +150 UVU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -4.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.0 (+13.0) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.0 (+12.0) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.9 (+11.9) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -4.9 (+12.9) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | UVU 70 – 59 RGV |
| Jan 8, 2023 | UVU 75 – 61 RGV |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UVU 66 – 56 RGV |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UVU 73 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UVU 78 – 74 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L14 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#317) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#323) | 0.14 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#338) | 0.18 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#308) | 0.510 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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