Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -1200 RGV +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -13.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -12.8 (-1.8) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -11.2 (-0.2) | 142.7 (-13.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -12.0 (-1.0) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -12.3 (-1.3) | 145.6 (-16.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2024 | RGV 76 – 68 UVU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | UVU 75 – 61 RGV |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UVU 66 – 56 RGV |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UVU 73 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UVU 78 – 74 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L14 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#166) | -10.6 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#174) | -1.94 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#163) | -2.67 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#166) | 0.397 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.