Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -138 RGV +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -2.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.8 (+1.2) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.0 (+3.0) | 142.1 (+9.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.8 (+2.2) | 141.9 (+10.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.6 (+2.4) | 147.5 (+4.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | UVU 70 – 59 RGV |
| Jan 14, 2024 | RGV 76 – 68 UVU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | UVU 75 – 61 RGV |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UVU 66 – 56 RGV |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UVU 73 – 64 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 2-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#229) | -3.6 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#280) | -0.43 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#284) | -0.44 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#237) | 0.497 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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