Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -300 LBSU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +17 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -10.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.5 (+8.5) | 155.2 (+1.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -7.1 (+9.9) | 154.2 (+2.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.0 (+8.0) | 153.8 (+3.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.5 (+8.5) | 155.2 (+1.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#80) | 0.4 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#96) | -0.48 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#95) | 0.07 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#109) | 0.474 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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