Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -138 CAN +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +7 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -1.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -0.7 (-7.7) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.8 (-8.8) | 132.1 (-5.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -1.0 (-8.0) | 133.1 (-6.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.9 (-7.9) | 134.1 (-7.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SPU 69 – 57 CAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SPU 70 – 62 CAN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SPU 62 – 49 CAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SPU 70 – 59 CAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SPU 54 – 52 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#311) | -5.4 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#298) | -2.01 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#304) | -2.11 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#292) | 0.432 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.