Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SPU -1200 CAN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -12.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -9.5 (-1.5) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -9.9 (-1.9) | 133.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -9.9 (-1.9) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -10.4 (-2.4) | 133.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SPU 69 – 57 CAN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SPU 62 – 49 CAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SPU 70 – 59 CAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SPU 54 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 25, 2023 | CAN 66 – 53 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 3-17 |
| Home | 6-6 | 1-12 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#280) | -16.3 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#276) | -2.85 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#287) | -3.30 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#295) | 0.412 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 25.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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