Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -485 CAN +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -7.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -3.6 (+8.4) | 127.1 (-1.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -5.6 (+6.4) | 128.3 (-2.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -2.1 (+9.9) | 129.2 (-3.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -2.5 (+9.5) | 131.8 (-5.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | SPU 70 – 62 CAN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SPU 62 – 49 CAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SPU 70 – 59 CAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SPU 54 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 25, 2023 | CAN 66 – 53 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#339) | -15.2 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.06 (#346) | -0.19 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.84 (#359) | -0.51 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#350) | 0.504 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.