Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CAN -188 SPU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +2 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -8.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -4.8 (-6.8) | 134.2 (-28.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -2.9 (-4.9) | 130.7 (-24.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -4.4 (-6.4) | 134.4 (-28.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -4.9 (-6.9) | 134.0 (-28.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SPU 69 – 57 CAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SPU 70 – 62 CAN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SPU 62 – 49 CAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SPU 70 – 59 CAN |
| Feb 25, 2023 | CAN 66 – 53 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#137) | -0.5 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#106) | -0.29 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#137) | -0.03 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#91) | 0.461 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 43.1% |
Game Analysis
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