Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CAN -150 SPU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +13 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -6.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -4.1 (+8.9) | 131.7 (-12.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -2.9 (+10.1) | 132.2 (-13.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -4.2 (+8.8) | 135.5 (-16.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -4.0 (+9.0) | 136.2 (-17.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SPU 69 – 57 CAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SPU 70 – 62 CAN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SPU 62 – 49 CAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SPU 70 – 59 CAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SPU 54 – 52 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 65.5 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#271) | -8.4 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#314) | -1.50 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#296) | -1.78 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#286) | 0.433 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 38.0% |
Game Analysis
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