Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | SCU +280 GONZ -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -3.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -0.8 (-4.2) | 157.2 (-0.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -1.2 (-3.8) | 157.2 (-0.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -1.0 (-4.0) | 157.4 (-0.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -0.9 (-4.1) | 155.9 (+1.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 14-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-3 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 9-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 85.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#86) | 13.2 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#59) | 3.09 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#62) | 4.12 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#43) | 0.658 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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