Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -133 SF +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -5.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -3.8 (-5.8) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -2.9 (-4.9) | 146.5 (-4.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -4.6 (-6.6) | 146.2 (-4.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -4.7 (-6.7) | 145.7 (-3.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | LMU 84 – 75 SF |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LMU 84 – 82 SF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SF 72 – 66 LMU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SF 70 – 55 LMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SF 82 – 59 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#95) | 3.6 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#77) | 0.43 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#83) | 0.68 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#73) | 0.502 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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