Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SF -800 LMU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +15 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SF -15.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -13.2 (+1.8) | 137.5 (-12.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -12.7 (+2.3) | 135.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -12.8 (+2.2) | 136.2 (-11.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -12.2 (+2.8) | 137.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | LMU 84 – 75 SF |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LMU 84 – 82 SF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SF 72 – 66 LMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SF 82 – 59 LMU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | SF 90 – 74 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#57) | -1.4 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#70) | 0.45 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#67) | 0.50 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#67) | 0.515 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.