Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -118 SF -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -3.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -1.7 (+0.3) | 135.9 (+30.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -0.7 (+1.3) | 138.6 (+27.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -1.2 (+0.8) | 134.3 (+31.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -1.1 (+0.9) | 136.2 (+29.8) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | LMU 84 – 75 SF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SF 72 – 66 LMU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SF 70 – 55 LMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SF 82 – 59 LMU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | SF 90 – 74 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | 3.5 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#137) | 0.96 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#125) | 1.45 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#159) | 0.532 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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