They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -5.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WRST -275 / OAK +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual OAK +2 148 Lost
Massey WRST -8.6 (-10.6) — —
Massey Totals — 161.1 (-13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WRST -4.8 (-6.8) 153.6 (-5.6) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -4.6 (-6.6) 155.4 (-7.4) 60% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -5.3 (-7.3) 153.5 (-5.5) 72% ✗
Baseline ML WRST -5.0 (-7.0) 153.4 (-5.4) 70% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 WRST 94 – 84 OAK
Dec 30, 2025 WRST 88 – 73 OAK
Jan 10, 2025 WRST 66 – 62 OAK
Dec 6, 2024 OAK 66 – 64 WRST
Feb 25, 2024 WRST 96 – 75 OAK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST OAK
Overall 18-15 13-19
Conference 10-10 11-9
Home 9-6 8-6
Away 7-8 5-10
Neutral 2-1 0-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 78.3 72.7
Avg Pts Against 74.7 77.9
Massey -2.6 (#221) -7.0 (#295)
Bradley-Terry -0.60 (#239) -1.06 (#282)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.74 (#229) -1.34 (#281)
RPI 0.452 (#268) 0.442 (#284)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST OAK
FG% 47.7% 42.0%
3PT% 33.3% 30.4%
REB / G 34.9 31.4
OREB / G 8.9 8.5
AST / TO 1.18 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 48.4%
TOV% 17.4% 15.0%
ORB% 25.3% 23.2%
FT Rate 15.1% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 16.9%
DRB% 75.8% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 16.0%

Game Analysis

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