Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SMC -1600 PORT +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +42 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -16.4 (+25.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -15.2 (+26.8) | 136.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -15.5 (+26.5) | 134.9 (-6.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -13.6 (+28.4) | 136.9 (-8.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -14.9 (+27.1) | 138.7 (-10.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SMC 75 – 69 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SMC 78 – 57 PORT |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SMC 79 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SMC 81 – 58 PORT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SMC 76 – 51 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 5-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-2 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.0 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#13) | 1.8 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#41) | -0.40 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#31) | -0.29 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#25) | 0.467 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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