Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -275 DETM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -2.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.6 (+1.4) | 138.0 (+16.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.3 (+0.7) | 137.6 (+16.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.5 (+0.5) | 136.8 (+17.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.8 (+1.2) | 138.8 (+15.2) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#240) | -1.7 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#216) | -0.47 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#199) | -0.21 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#225) | 0.469 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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