You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
San Diego Toreros
48 – 68
FINAL Conference
BYU Cougars
West Coast Conference · Jenny Craig Pavilion · January 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money USD +163 / BYU -213
Model Predictions
Spread Total USD win
Actual BYU +20 116 Lost
Massey BYU -2.1 (-17.9) — —
Massey Totals — 156.6 (-40.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 33% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 35% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BYU -2.4 (-17.6) 151.7 (-35.7) 31% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BYU -3.6 (-16.4) 148.0 (-32.0) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -2.7 (-17.3) 152.6 (-36.6) 39% ✓
Baseline ML BYU -3.1 (-16.9) 152.0 (-36.0) 33% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2022 BYU 79 – 71 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USD BYU
Overall 11-20 19-15
Conference 4-12 7-9
Home 8-9 12-4
Away 3-8 2-7
Neutral 0-3 4-4
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 74.1
Avg Pts Against 81.6 70.1
Massey -0.9 (#195) 5.4 (#90)
Bradley-Terry -0.54 (#229) 0.91 (#91)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.11 (#186) 1.40 (#85)
RPI 0.472 (#224) 0.540 (#106)
Shooting & Four Factors USD BYU
FG% 43.9% 42.9%
3PT% 36.4% 30.3%
REB / G 34.2 40.8
OREB / G 10.7 12.0
AST / TO 1.18 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 49.3%
TOV% 15.5% 22.4%
ORB% 29.5% 32.9%
FT Rate 25.4% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.3% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 19.0%
DRB% 70.9% 78.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 24.9%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.