Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -16.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -12.7 (-4.7) | 137.7 (+12.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -16.2 (-8.2) | 138.9 (+11.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -12.5 (-4.5) | 139.8 (+10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -13.2 (-5.2) | 139.7 (+10.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2023 | BYU 68 – 48 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#28) | -1.3 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#33) | 0.20 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#29) | 0.50 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#8) | 0.512 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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