Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -400 IDST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +10 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -6.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -5.8 (-15.8) | 137.2 (-13.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -6.7 (-16.7) | 133.8 (-9.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -5.1 (-15.1) | 138.1 (-14.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -5.6 (-15.6) | 138.4 (-14.4) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WEB 83 – 73 IDST |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WEB 81 – 79 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | IDST 72 – 67 WEB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | WEB 77 – 69 IDST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | IDST 80 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#203) | -3.8 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#212) | -1.74 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#217) | -1.46 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#218) | 0.392 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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