Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WEB +100 IDST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -2.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -2.4 (-2.6) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -2.9 (-2.1) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -2.2 (-2.8) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -2.5 (-2.5) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WEB 83 – 73 IDST |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WEB 81 – 79 IDST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | WEB 77 – 69 IDST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | IDST 80 – 62 WEB |
| Jan 28, 2024 | IDST 74 – 64 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#292) | -2.2 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#301) | -1.09 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#298) | -1.12 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#297) | 0.431 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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