Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -800 IDST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -15.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -10.5 (-20.5) | 136.6 (+1.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -11.0 (-21.0) | 132.6 (+5.4) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -10.6 (-20.6) | 137.9 (+0.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -10.8 (-20.8) | 138.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WEB 83 – 73 IDST |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WEB 81 – 79 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | IDST 72 – 67 WEB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | WEB 77 – 69 IDST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | IDST 80 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#105) | -6.9 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#142) | -1.43 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#123) | -1.60 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#152) | 0.405 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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