You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -3.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money QUC -150 / KENN +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual KENN +9 143 Lost
Massey QUC -7.3 (-16.3)
Massey Totals 148.3 (-5.3)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 78%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -4.8 (-13.8) 146.0 (-3.0) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -4.8 (-13.8) 148.1 (-5.1) 71%
Baseline ML QUC -5.0 (-14.0) 149.8 (-6.8) 72%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -5.1 (-14.1) 148.5 (-5.5) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 QUC 9182 KENN
Jan 6, 2024 KENN 8077 QUC
Mar 1, 2023 KENN 6766 QUC
Feb 18, 2023 QUC 8376 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC KENN
Overall 18-15 26-9
Conference 7-11 15-3
Home 8-5 15-1
Away 7-10 10-6
Neutral 3-0 1-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.6 73.5
Avg Pts Against 75.5 70.9
Massey 0.9 (#155) -2.2 (#211)
Bradley-Terry 0.83 (#102) 0.33 (#149)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.39 (#147) -0.02 (#180)
RPI 0.542 (#104) 0.516 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC KENN
FG% 44.3% 43.1%
3PT% 34.6% 39.3%
REB / G 38.5 33.6
OREB / G 12.3 9.7
AST / TO 0.94 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 50.7%
TOV% 20.0% 19.3%
ORB% 34.0% 27.0%
FT Rate 25.4% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 20.5%
DRB% 72.0% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 14.9% 29.0%

Game Analysis

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