Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -6.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money KENN -300 / QUC +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +1 133 Won
Massey KENN -7.3 (-6.3)
Massey Totals 153.9 (-20.9)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 87%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -4.3 (-3.3) 149.9 (-16.9) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -6.7 (-5.7) 152.5 (-19.5) 78%
Baseline ML KENN -7.0 (-6.0) 154.5 (-21.5) 80%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -6.3 (-5.3) 153.9 (-20.9) 81%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 QUC 9182 KENN
Jan 6, 2024 KENN 8077 QUC
Feb 18, 2023 QUC 8376 KENN
Jan 8, 2023 KENN 7667 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN QUC
Overall 26-9 18-15
Conference 15-3 7-11
Home 15-1 8-5
Away 10-6 7-10
Neutral 1-2 3-0
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 75.6
Avg Pts Against 70.9 75.5
Massey 1.9 (#136) -1.9 (#208)
Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#75) 0.04 (#163)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.10 (#100) -0.11 (#177)
RPI 0.570 (#59) 0.496 (#186)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN QUC
FG% 45.6% 43.5%
3PT% 37.2% 35.2%
REB / G 34.5 36.0
OREB / G 9.6 10.7
AST / TO 1.13 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 51.3%
TOV% 18.1% 17.5%
ORB% 28.1% 29.7%
FT Rate 24.1% 26.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 15.7%
DRB% 74.7% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 18.1%

Game Analysis

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